Nearly Three-Quarters of Payment Executives See Business Uncertainty Easing

High Uncertainty Among Payment Executives

27%

Percentage of heads of payments reporting high levels of uncertainty in March 2026.

High Uncertainty Among Goods Firms

47%

Percentage of goods firms indicating high uncertainty, significantly higher than service firms.

Optimism for Decreased Uncertainty

72%

Percentage of payment leaders expressing optimism that uncertainty will decrease within the next 12 months.

⦿ Executive Snapshot

What: A report reveals that while business uncertainty is high, many payment executives anticipate improvement in the coming year.
Who: PYMNTS Intelligence, payment leaders, heads of payments, goods firms.
Why it matters: Understanding how firms adapt to ongoing uncertainty is crucial for forecasting and strategic planning in finance and supply chains.

27% of heads of payments reported high levels of uncertainty in March 2026, similar to previous tariff-related disruptions.
47% of goods firms indicated high uncertainty, significantly higher than service firms, highlighting the risks in physical supply chains.
72% of payment leaders expressed optimism that uncertainty will decrease within the next 12 months, suggesting a temporary nature to current pressures.

Business uncertainty has transitioned from being a sporadic event to a recurring challenge, affecting how companies forecast and manage operations.
Recent geopolitical conflicts and global stresses have compounded the traditional sources of uncertainty, impacting pricing and supply chain management.

Firms may need to enhance their forecasting and operational agility to navigate the ongoing uncertainty effectively.
Companies that develop robust forecasting habits and flexible financial tools are likely to emerge stronger from future disruptions.

High levels of uncertainty could lead to significant financial burdens, with costs tied to uncertainty averaging 2.9% of revenue, and 6.2% for firms facing high uncertainty.
Companies reliant on physical goods are more exposed to volatility, complicating their ability to plan effectively.

Monitor the evolution of uncertainty levels over the next 12 months as companies adapt their strategies to manage ongoing pressures.
Future developments in payment tools and financing options will indicate how effectively firms can mitigate the financial impacts of uncertainty.